January 2026 San Francisco Real Estate Market Summary

• As interest rates continue to fall, median monthly P&I payments do as well, making housing slowly but surely more affordable on a national scale.

• Mortgage rates are currently at the lowest point they’ve been at in recent years, as the Fed continues its rate cut cycle.

• Despite falling interest rates, inventories still remain higher than they were at this point last year.

• We very briefly saw rates break the 6% mark recently, following some commentary from Trump regarding the purchase of mortgage-backed securities by Fannie and Freddie.

January 2026 East Bay Real Estate Market Summary

• Single-family home prices held relatively steady in December, while the condo market continued its year-long slide with double-digit declines in Alameda County.

• Inventories dropped significantly as the year came to a close, with single-family home inventory down nearly 19% year-over-year.

• Single-family homes continue to move quickly, while condos are spending considerably more time on the market.

January 2026 Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Summary

• Single-family median sale prices rebounded across most of Silicon Valley in December, with San Mateo County posting nearly 10% year-over-year gains.

• Inventory levels have plummeted to their lowest levels in years, with single-family home inventory down more than 21% year-over-year.

• Despite the inventory crunch, listings in Santa Cruz County are spending significantly more time on the market compared to last year.

January 2026 Bay Area Real Estate Market Summary
The Bay Area closed out 2025 with unprecedented inventory contraction, with most regions experiencing 20-40% year-over-year inventory declines as the holiday season accelerated a dramatic shift toward seller's markets.

• San Francisco led regional price appreciation with single-family homes up 8.63% and inventory hitting historic lows of just 93 homes for sale, while other regions showed more mixed results with pockets of softness.

• Days on market trends diverged sharply across the region, with San Francisco and parts of the East Bay accelerating while other areas like Santa Cruz County experienced significant slowdowns despite tight inventory.

• The entire Bay Area has transformed into seller's market territory across nearly all property types, with several regions reaching extreme supply constraints not seen in years.

January 2026 North Bay Real Estate Market Summary

• Median sale prices were mixed across the North Bay in December, with Napa County single-family homes seeing 7.34% year-over-year growth while Sonoma and Solano Counties experienced slight declines.

• Inventory levels have plummeted dramatically, with single-family home inventory down 38.85% and condo inventory down 27.99% on a year-over-year basis.

• Despite the inventory crunch, listings are spending considerably more time on the market than they did last year, with single-family homes in Solano County sitting 42.86% longer.